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Data from Polymarket
The Daily Gondor
LiveBreaking News Sourced from Prediction Marketsupdated just now
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TrendingLive
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes14%No86%▼4%
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes21%No79%▼4%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Yes24%No76%▲3%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes24%No76%▼4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?
Yes74%No26%▼26%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Yes7%No93%▲1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Yes10%No90%▲8%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Yes11%No89%▼23%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Yes30%No70%▲22%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Yes22%No78%▼8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Yes79%No21%▲46%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Yes23%No77%▲5%
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Market DashboardsLive
Politics & Elections
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
21%chance▼4%
The market currently prices this at 21%, with a notable 4-point move down in recent trading. Volume of $3.6M suggests active participation. The shift may reflect early positioning ahead of an expected catalyst. Traders on the up side are now facing pressure to reassess their positions.

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
23%chance▲5%
The market currently prices this at 23%, with a notable 5-point move up in recent trading. Volume of $2.9M suggests active participation. The shift may reflect early positioning ahead of an expected catalyst. Traders on the down side are now facing pressure to reassess their positions.

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
77%chance▼4%
The market currently prices this at 77%, with a notable 4-point move down in recent trading. Volume of $2.1M suggests active participation. The shift may reflect early positioning ahead of an expected catalyst. Traders on the up side are now facing pressure to reassess their positions.

Sports
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17%chance▲1%
At just 17%, the market sees this as unlikely. Total volume stands at $34.5M, indicating meaningful interest despite the low odds. The probability moved up 1 points recently. A "Yes" bet here is a long shot — but prediction markets have mispriced tail risks before. Watch for breaking news that could shift sentiment quickly.

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
64%chance▲25%
This market has seen a dramatic 25-point swing up recently — one of the biggest moves on the platform. With $34.1M in total volume, traders are actively repricing this outcome. The sharp move suggests new information or a shift in sentiment that the broader market is still digesting. Momentum traders may push this further before a new equilibrium is found.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10%chance▼1%
At just 10%, the market sees this as unlikely. Total volume stands at $28.6M, indicating meaningful interest despite the low odds. The probability moved down 1 points recently. A "Yes" bet here is a long shot — but prediction markets have mispriced tail risks before. Watch for breaking news that could shift sentiment quickly.

Crypto & Digital Assets
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?
74%chance▼26%
This market has seen a dramatic 26-point swing down recently — one of the biggest moves on the platform. With $327K in total volume, traders are actively repricing this outcome. The sharp move suggests new information or a shift in sentiment that the broader market is still digesting. Momentum traders may push this further before a new equilibrium is found.

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
30%chance▲22%
This market has seen a dramatic 22-point swing up recently — one of the biggest moves on the platform. With $296K in total volume, traders are actively repricing this outcome. The sharp move suggests new information or a shift in sentiment that the broader market is still digesting. Momentum traders may push this further before a new equilibrium is found.

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
10%chance▲8%
At just 10%, the market sees this as unlikely. Total volume stands at $279K, indicating meaningful interest despite the low odds. The probability moved up 8 points recently. A "Yes" bet here is a long shot — but prediction markets have mispriced tail risks before. Watch for breaking news that could shift sentiment quickly.

TrendingLive
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes14%No86%▼4%
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes21%No79%▼4%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Yes24%No76%▲3%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes24%No76%▼4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?
Yes74%No26%▼26%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Yes7%No93%▲1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Yes10%No90%▲8%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Yes11%No89%▼23%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Yes30%No70%▲22%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Yes22%No78%▼8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Yes79%No21%▲46%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Yes23%No77%▲5%
Subscribe to The Daily Gondor
Get daily updates on the markets that matter, delivered to your inbox every morning.
Free. No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.